Publications & Work

A collection of work in progress, peer-reviewed articles, and compilation datasets.

Google Scholar Profile

// work_in_progress

In Preparation / WP 2025

Estimating Local Welfare Effects of Chinese Development Finance in Africa

with Connor T Jerzak and Adel Daoud

Utilizing causal machine learning to quantify the sub-national impacts of Chinese development finance on local welfare outcomes across Africa.

In Preparation / WP 2025

Political Competition and Public Procurement: Subnational Evidence from Municipal and State-Level Contracts in Turkey

Analyzing the redistributive logic of procurement contracts and the impact of political competition on resource allocation.

In Preparation / WP 2024

The Institutionalization of States

with John Gerring, Daniel Smith, and Xin Nong

Exploring cycles of governance across the life span of polities. I analyze leadership tenure as a proxy for power concentration at the apex to examine the long-term institutionalization of states.

In Preparation / WP 2024

The Size and Shape of States: A Historical Perspective

with John Gerring, Daniel Smith, and Kyosuke Kikuta

Mapping the long-term evolution of state formation and territorial dynamics across the global landscape.

Working Paper 2024

Leader Tenure through the Ages: The Growth of Constraints?

with John Gerring et al.

Exploring historical trends in political leader tenure and the emergence of institutional constraints over time.

Read on SSRN

// articles_&_reports

Working Paper / Report 2021

The Quality of Government Expert Survey 2020 (Wave III): Report

with Marina Nistotskaya et al.

University of Gothenburg: The QoG Working Paper Series 2021:2. A detailed methodological report on the third wave of the global expert survey.

Read Report (PDF)

// datasets

Core Compilation Datasets 2020 – 2025

The Quality of Government Standard, Basic & OECD Datasets

with Jan Teorell, Stefan Dahlberg, et al.

Comprehensive compilation datasets of global governance indicators, featuring over 2000 variables on institutional quality and political economy.

Access Portal
Expert Survey 2021

The Quality of Government Expert Survey 2020 Dataset: Wave III

with Marina Nistotskaya et al.

A primary dataset on the internal structure and operation of public administration across 129 countries.

Access Dataset
Regional Dataset 2020

The Quality of Government EU Regional Dataset

with Nicholas Charron, Victor Lapuente, and Monika Bauhr

A specialized compilation of sub-national governance and quality indicators for European Union regions.

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Environmental Dataset 2021

The Quality of Government Environmental Indicators Dataset

with Marina Povitkina and Natalia Alvarado Pachon

A curated collection of global indicators focusing on environmental performance and policy outcomes.

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Historical Compilation 2018 – 2020

Political Leaders Through Time (PLT)

Project leads: John Gerring and Jan Teorell

A major historical compilation database on global political leaders since 3000 BCE, focused on leader tenure and elite circulation.

// book_reviews

Book Review 2018

Review of “Political behavior and the emotional citizen: participation and reaction in Turkey”

Turkish Studies, vol. 19, no. 4

A critical review of Cengiz Erişen’s work on the emotional and behavioral dimensions of political participation in the Turkish context.

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